• Center on Health Equity & Access
  • Clinical
  • Health Care Cost
  • Health Care Delivery
  • Insurance
  • Policy
  • Technology
  • Value-Based Care

Cardiovascular Risk Calculator Overestimates Events

Article

A new study in the Annals of Internal Medicine finds that most of the commonly employed tools to calculate cardiovascular risk seriously overestimate the risk of people today.

Calculating cardiovascular risk has become a central and highly controversial component of cardiovascular guidelines. Now a study in the Annals of Internal Medicine finds that most of the commonly employed tools seriously overestimate the risk of people today.

Researchers used data from 4227 people enrolled in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis between 2000 and 2002 to assess the predictive accuracy of the new AHA/ACC atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease tool and 4 alternative risk scores: FRS-CHD, the ATP-III-FRS-CHD, the Reynolds Risk Score (RRS), and the FRS-CVD.

They found that 4 out of the 5 scores overestimated risk for men by as little as 37% and by as much as 154% and for women by as little as 8% and as much as 67%. The RRS overestimated risk in men by 9% but underestimated risk in women by 21%.

Read more at Forbes: http://onforb.es/1Am9bfT

Related Videos
Dr Susan Vadaparampil
Luke Messac at ISC 2026
2 experts are featured in this series.
Ava Liberman at ISC 2026
Alison Holman at ISC 2026
Dr Ameet Patel
Linda Stein Gold, MD
Eric Levin, Scripta
Dr. Emily Fisher at ISC 2026
© 2026 MJH Life Sciences
AJMC®
All rights reserved.