Panelists discuss how emerging biomarkers like neurofilament light protein, glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP), cervical cord atrophy, and phase rim lesions could enable earlier identification of patients at risk for progression, supporting more effective treatment decisions and payer coverage determinations based on longitudinal disability data rather than just relapse activity.
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The challenge of translating clinical trial end points related to disability into meaningful coverage and utilization management decisions by payers often centers on the perception of treatment benefit magnitude. When therapies show statistically significant but seemingly modest impacts on disability progression, payers may question whether slowing rather than stopping progression represents meaningful clinical value. However, this perspective overlooks the potential for much greater therapeutic impact when effective treatments are implemented earlier in the disease course, before substantial neurological damage accumulates and CNS reserve is depleted.
Emerging biomarkers hold significant promise for revolutionizing clinical decision-making and payer coverage determinations by enabling precision medicine approaches in multiple sclerosis. Blood biomarkers, particularly neurofilament light protein and glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP), show promise for predicting later progression development. MRI features are equally important, with cervical spinal cord atrophy emerging as a better predictor of progression than traditional brain measures. The 2024 diagnostic criteria now incorporate phase rim lesions (PEARLS)—slowly expanding chronic active lesions with iron-laden microglia rims—as diagnostic biomarkers, with higher PEARL counts predicting progression risk.
The future of multiple sclerosis care will likely involve comprehensive longitudinal monitoring beyond traditional relapse-based assessments. Wearable devices enabling continuous patient monitoring, patient-reported outcomes, validated MRI imaging parameters, and blood biomarkers will collectively provide more accurate treatment failure detection based on disability progression rather than relapse frequency alone. This multifaceted approach to patient monitoring and treatment evaluation will require health care systems and payers to adapt their assessment criteria to recognize the value of preventing subtle but progressive disability accumulation, ultimately leading to better patient outcomes and potentially reduced long-term health care costs.
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