The bill for the congressional budget of fiscal year 2025 setting levels for 2026 through 2034 passed the House and will now advance to the Senate.
The House of Representatives passed a budget resolution (H Con Res 14, 119th Congress) that includes deep cuts to Medicaid, advancing the Republican-led plan in a 217-215 vote Tuesday evening.1
If the resolution becomes law, states could be forced to make up for the federal funding shortfall. | Image credit: wallentine – stock.adobe.com
The resolution will cut about $880 billion from the House Energy and Commerce Committee—which oversees health care spending in programs such as Medicaid—over the next decade as part of a broader GOP budget framework aimed at enacting $4.5 trillion in tax cuts to put towards raising the country’s debt limit.2
With nearly 80 million Americans covered by Medicaid and CHIP, this vote stands to affect almost a quarter of the US population if passed into law.3
This news comes after multiple Republicans pushed back against the budget plan, with some arguing the cuts are too deep while others said they were willing to hold out for even deeper ones.4 President Donald J. Trump also recently endorsed the House budget after the White House reassured that Medicaid would not be impacted by a federal funding freeze that is still being blocked.3.5
House leaders extended a typically brief vote for over an hour as representatives worked to sway opinions at the last minute amid 2 bipartisan votes.1 The delay, which stretched well beyond customary window time, was met with calls for "regular order" from the packed floor, and highlighted the challenges in locking down support for the Medicaid-cutting measure. With fewer than 20 votes left to cast, 1 of the 2 Republican "nay" votes recorded appeared to change to "yea" moments later.
Potential Impacts of Medicaid Cuts
If the resolution becomes law, states could be forced to make up for the federal funding shortfall, likely leading to coverage losses, benefit reductions, or stricter eligibility requirements.3 One of the most controversial provisions allows states to impose work requirements for Medicaid beneficiaries, a move that could eliminate coverage for millions.
Hospitals, nursing homes, and community health centers—many of which rely on Medicaid reimbursements—would also feel the impact. According to the Kaiser Family Foundation, 32% of Medicaid spending in 2023 was for hospital-based care. Cutting federal support could strain health care facilities that are already underfunded, particularly in rural areas where hospital closures have outpaced new openings in recent years.
“Slashing Medicaid would have serious consequences, particularly in rural and predominantly Hispanic communities,” a group of Republican representatives warned in a letter to House Speaker Mike Johnson before the vote.6
A Politico review found that 11 Republicans in swing districts collectively represent nearly 2.7 million Medicaid recipients. Some of these lawmakers—including Reps David Valadao (R-California), Mike Lawler (R-New York), and Robert Bresnahan (R-Pennsylvania)—have expressed reservations about the bill’s impact on their constituents.
Over in the Senate, there is growing opposition to major Medicaid cuts. Senator Josh Hawley (R-Missouri), representing a state where more than 21% of residents rely on Medicaid, said he did not support massive cuts to the program. He also supported a Democratic amendment alongside Sen Susan Collins (R-Maine) that would prevent tax cuts for the wealthy if any Medicaid funding were cut from the Senate budget resolution that is also being formed, though the amendment was shut down by the rest of the party.
References
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